The gap between internet and telephone polls, which has been a feature throughout the campaign, still seems to be present. The single phone poll by ComRes gives Remain a modest lead.
Opinium and TNS put Leave ahead by very narrow margins: YouGov also has the result practically neck and neck.
An Ipsos Mori poll is expected on Thursday and a YouGov "on the day" poll will be released on the stroke of Exit polls are based on analysis of previous elections, and the last UK referendum in is simply too long ago for a valid comparison to be made.
A series of of new referendum polls released on Saturday evening suggest that the result still hangs in the balance. YouGov has published two polls.
Survation has published the only telephone poll of the evening for the Mail on Sunday. It has Remain up by three points. But perhaps they suggest that the momentum enjoyed by Leave over the last couple of weeks has, for the time being at least, stalled.
ComRes has also published an interesting poll for the Independent and Sunday People, although not with referendum voting intention figures.
For ComRes, who conduct fieldwork by phone, Remain were in the lead, but only by 1 point compared with 11 points last month.
So the long-established gap between phone and internet polls still seems to be in place - with the exception of ICM - but for both methods the centre of gravity has shifted to Leave.
After weeks of uncertainty about whether the polls were moving one way or another there now seems to be a clear picture: Four polls were published yesterday evening: All of the pollsters are showing leave in a stronger position than they were a fortnight ago.
In the YouGov poll the lead is 7 points. They show remain ahead but by a narrower margin than they have found in recent phone polls.
Before leave campaigners get ahead of themselves, though, they might want to wait until further polls are released by some of the other companies. With less than two weeks to go, interest in referendum polls is reaching a climax.
There are two polls in the Sunday papers - both online - which continue to show a very close race, as most online polls have done for months.
YouGov in the Sunday Times has leave one point in the lead. Opinium in the Observer has remain two points up.
On Friday night there was one other poll which reported a clear lead for leave. In the coming days more polls are anticipated, including some telephone polls.
So perhaps we might get a clearer picture. There have been numerous reports in recent days about pro-remain Labour MPs worrying that their supporters are switching to leave.
Pollsters always publish a demographic breakdown of how different groups have responded to their polls. You have to be even more cautious with these than with the headline numbers.
But looking at a large number of polls, clear trends emerge. In the referendum, one trend is that Labour voters say they back remain over leave in a ratio of approximately 2: And the other weekend polls had Labour voters supporting remain by a little over the 2: Most of the polls shown here were carried out by members of the British Polling Council BPC who fully disclose their findings, methodology and the client who commissioned the poll.
The percentages who "would not vote" or who refused to answer are not shown below, although some pollsters have excluded these in any case.
The Confederation of British Industry reported a survey of of its members, carried out by ComRes. In April , the International Chamber of Commerce published a survey of businesses from 27 different countries.
When asked to name ways in which their businesses could benefit from Brexit, a majority of respondents in France, Italy, and Spain said that their countries could benefit as companies move jobs out of the UK.
In March , Nature reported a survey of active science researchers based in the UK. Legal Week surveyed almost partners in legal firms. In a poll released in December , Lord Ashcroft asked 20, people in the UK to place themselves on a scale of 0— of how likely they were vote to remain or leave.
In early , Lord Ashcroft polled individuals in each of the other European Union member states to gauge opinion on whether they thought the United Kingdom should leave the EU, whether they thought the UK should remain a member or whether they believed it did not matter.
Additionally, Ashcroft asked the same group of people whether they would be happy for Britain to remain in the European Union to renegotiated terms or whether they thought the UK should leave if they do not like their current terms of membership.
Newer countries to the European Union, countries which have joined the Union since , were the biggest supporters: The results of these polls are shown in the table below.
There have also been polls to gauge support for remaining in or leaving the EU. The following polls, unless the notes state otherwise, asked how respondents would vote in a second referendum.
On 6 July , the UK Cabinet agreed a statement at Chequers that set out a proposal for the future relationship between the United Kingdom and the European Union , [96] following which two members of the Cabinet resigned.
She proposed a referendum with three options: Voters would be asked to mark a first and second preference using the supplementary vote system.
If there were no majority for any particular option among first-preference votes, the third-placed option would be eliminated and second preferences would be used to determine the winner from the two remaining options.
The following table shows opinion polls that have been conducted on how people would vote in a three-option referendum.
The table shows the poll results for a first round in which all three options would be available, and for a second round in which only the top two options in the first round would be available.
There have been opinion polls to gauge support for a second referendum on whether to accept or reject the final Brexit deal. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia.
Members — elected by parliament Members — election Members — election Members — election Members — election Members — election Members — election Members — election Members — election Women.
Article 50 and negotiations. This list is incomplete ; you can help by expanding it. This section needs additional citations for verification.
Please help improve this article by adding citations to reliable sources. Unsourced material may be challenged and removed. Retrieved 15 May Economic and Social Research Council.
Retrieved 18 May Retrieved 20 May Retrieved 21 May Retrieved 17 May All still to play for but not neck and neck".
Retrieved 23 June Archived from the original on 22 June Retrieved 22 June Retrieved 9 June Retrieved 21 June Retrieved 17 June Retrieved 11 November House of Lords Library.
Retrieved 18 June Retrieved 5 June Retrieved 24 May NHS cash row as campaigns get under way". Retrieved 14 November What David Cameron wanted — and what he really got".
Retrieved 2 June Retrieved 27 November Retrieved 14 May Business vote tightens as referendum campaign heads to the finish line". Confederation of British Industry.
United Kingdom office of International Chamber of Commerce. The View From Europe". Brexit would damage growth". Retrieved 29 May The argument over whether to remain or leave the EU is only just beginning".
Retrieved 19 December Retrieved 19 February Retrieved 8 August Retrieved 4 January Retrieved 18 March European news, cartoons and press reviews".
Retrieved 17 January Retrieved 2 December Cabinet backs draft agreement". Retrieved 9 July Retrieved 8 July Retrieved 11 March EU leaders agree to move talks to next stage".
Retrieved 16 December Retrieved 13 October Retrieved 29 March UK to leave single market, says Theresa May". Retrieved 24 March Theresa May to trigger Article 50 by end of March".
If we vote to leave, then we will leave. There will not be another referendum. Jeremy Corbyn has been reluctant to back a new referendum - insisting a general election is a better option, in line with official Labour policy.
The vicious war of words is an extremely rare clash between a serving Prime Minister and one of her predecessors.
Theresa May has insisted repeatedly that a new referendum would betray Leave voters in and will not happen on her watch - but Parliament could force her into it.
We have at last reached an agreement with the EU that recognises our shared history and values, and provides the foundations for a strong and sustainable future.
Arron Banks, the biggest individual donor in British political history, is now the focus of a criminal investigation which could unfold into a grave political scandal.
EU, it is alleged. Organisers, who originally expected around , expected to attend, said , demonstrators marched from Park Lane to a rally in Parliament Square calling for a second referendum.
Scottish Tory leader Ruth Davidson told the party conference ion Birmingham referendum results had to be respected or there was no way to heal the divides caused by binary choices.
The key to getting what you want out of any deal is to appear like an immoveable object, to convey that you intend to play dirty and make it hard for the other side to cause trouble.
In separate interventions, the leaders of the Czech Republic and Malta urged Theresa May to drop her opposition to a second referendum at the disastrous Salzburg summit this week.
The shadow Brexit secretary dismissed suggestions from frontbench colleague Barry Gardiner that re-running the national vote could spark civil unrest.
Blair called for a second referendum to break the deadlock over Brexit, suggesting a new vote could include three choices - leave Europe, stay in a reformed Europe or back the soft Brexit.
Tory MP Anna Soubry and Dominic Grieve have also backed campaigns for a second referendum - inching the rebels close enough to the point they could defeat the Government.
Here is all you need to know about him including who he is, his political career and EU votes. The Electoral Commission will say Vote Leave - fronted by Boris Johnson handed money to a smaller campaign with details of how to spend it with an obscure marketing firm, breaking polling laws.
Growth has slowed down significantly since the EU referendum - with the 0. Rising property prices and living costs appear to be forcing increasing numbers out of the capital.
Hedge funds are said to have raked in vast sums by shorting the market after being given analysis which pointed to a strong turnout for Leave.
Dominic Cummings was the director of Vote Leave - which was fronted by Boris Johnson and Michael Gove - and widely seen as the brains behind its success.
Official figures released yesterday showed that employment is at a record high, with more than 2, people finding work every day.
At the EU referendum the British people refused to be intimidated by the deceitful scaremongering about our supposedly apocalyptic future after Brexit.
MPs will be ordered to delete a wrecking amendment that strips ministers of the right to quit talks without a deal when the legislation returns to the Commons.
The PMI recorded a reading of A reading of 50 or above indicates growth. The firms expressed their concerns in documents submitted to the Home Office in response to a consultation over future immigration policy.
Christopher Wylie, who claims Facebook data was misused by Cambridge Analytica to swing polls, compared allegations the Brexit campaign broke spending rules to doping in the Olympics.
The shadow chancellor said Labour does not rule out having another nationwide vote on the issue to reverse the historic decision.
A final Brexit deal could still be voted down by the European Parliament, triggering a crisis in British politics, its chief negotiator warned yesterday.
Pro-European groups are coordinating their effort to sow discontent against the Government plan to deliver on the referendum vote, with a festival, app and a programme of public meetings.
A minority pro-Brexit group of artists have decided to come forward about their views on the referendum, after being shunned by friends.
Kremlin-backed channels RT and Sputnik pumped out anti EU stories which were shared so widely on Twitter they were seen up to million times online.
An year-old Brexiteer from Richmond received a death threat from an anonymous remainer troll because she voted to leave the European Union, revealed MP Zac Goldsmith left.
The Bank of England governor is said to have made the remark at a private breakfast at the World Economic Forum in Davos. Followers believe Australia should ditch the Monarchy and elect its own head of state.
Holding hands as they walked to vote, David Cameron and Samantha surely never thought their next joint public appearance would be his announcement he was leaving Downing Street.
With the motor industry supporting some , UK jobs, the referendum result voting in favour of leaving the EU has gone against the wishes of three quarters of firms within the sector.
Young Britons voted in their droves in favour of the Remain campaign but were left furious when older generations backed a Brexit, to vent their fury crowds took the streets of Westminster in protest.
Most commentators, and the betting markets, were confident that Britain was set to remain in the EU, after polls showed a consistent lead for Remain in the final days of the campaign.
An exclusive survey for the Daily Mail and ITV News, gave the Remain camp a lead of six points, by 48 per cent to 42 per cent — but 11 per cent of electors said they were still undecided.
Roger Bootle, one of eight self-styled Economists for Brexit, said he had not seen a note to clients last week which predicted a Leave vote could have dire consequences.
The government in Dublin is said to be readying a major drive to reassure investors that it will not be quitting the EU even if UK voters decide to leave.
Despite the Remain campaign scrambling to halt an apparent slide in support, the new snapshot of public opinion by Ipsos-Mori indicated the momentum continued to be with Brexit supporters.
The rare intervention from Mrs May pictured on the referendum came hours after George Osborne played down reports Britain would seek a new settlement with the EU just a week before polling day.
Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker right had promised David Cameron he would stay out of the Brexit battle for fear of making it look like Brussels was bullying British voters.
First, an online survey by ICM gave Out a five-point lead — on 48 per cent, compared to 43 per cent for In. Pollster YouGov found Leave on 45 per cent, with Remain on 41 per cent.
The PM and former London mayor engaged in fresh clashes as more polls showed Leave gaining ground, with the value of Sterling slipping as traders fretted over the potential for Brexit.
Research by Opinium said the race was split 43 per cent to Leave and 40 per cent to Remain - the latest in a succession of surveys to show Vote Leave ahead.
The ICM telephone survey revealed a four point Brexit lead. Both polls were carried out after new immigration data emerged. Just 11 per cent agreed with the assertion.
A survey of 4, voters by Ipsos MORI also found that — regardless of the result in the June 23 referendum — the public will continue to demand tougher border controls.
Employment Minister Priti Patel pictured to rubbish Government claims that the UK cannot thrive outside of the EU, in a hard-hitting intervention speaking to business bosses in London.
Thursday, Jan 31st 5-Day Forecast.
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